11.28.2019

December Philippines Typhoon: Kammuri (Tisoy)

December Philippines Typhoon: Kammuri


Update December 3, 2019 10:00  





I just filmed the video above. We are about 200 miles south of Kammuri's center right now. The sea in the video is the Sulu Sea on the western side of the Philippines. Though you would not want to take a banca out on that water the waves are nowhere near as aggressive as when Haiyan/Yolanda came through (video in this post). Believe it or not there are people swimming in that stuff.

Update December 2, 2019 23:00   


U.S. Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center 
(not subject to copyright)

The map above shows Kammuri just to the east of Legazpi at 02/12Z (8 P.M. Monday evening) with sustained winds of 115 knots making this a possible category 4 landfall.

Update December 2, 2019 10:00   


This information was just sent to me by the U.S. Embassy. I am sure that everyone is well apprised of the situation by now, but I will pass this on just the same:
Weather Alert - U.S. Embassy Manila (December 2, 2019)

Location: The Philippines
 

Event: Typhoon Kammuri (local name Tisoy) is forecast to make landfall over Catanduanes, Albay, or Sorsogon the evening of Monday, December 2 to early morning, Tuesday, December 3 and track westward. Residents of the affected storm path may experience strong winds and heavy rains, with possible flooding, landslides, and dangerous driving conditions, on Tuesday, December 3 through Wednesday, December 4. 

 Actions to Take:
  • Avoid travel to typhoon affected areas until the storm has departed the Philippines.
  • Monitor local media for updates.
  • Notify friends and family of your safety.
  • Review your personal security plans.
  • Have travel documents up to date and easily accessible.
  • Have evacuation plans that do not rely on U.S. government assistance.
  • Seek secure shelter in heavy wind and rain.
  • Monitor the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration website at http://bagong.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/

Update November 30, 2019 06:30   


U.S. Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center 
(not subject to copyright)

The forecast strength for Kammuri continues to be downgraded. Kammuri is now projected to be a category 2 when it makes landfall and category 1 by the time it nears Manila.

The center of the storm is about 1200 miles east of the Philippines right now. We are located a couple of hundred miles south of Manila and for the past two days it has been drizzling here with on and off steady rains. The nights have been some of the coolest this year with temps around 20 Celsius, which is cold for us. We have only been as low as 19 or perhaps 18 Celsius a few times in ten years.

Hopefully this storm will only bring a little more rain to give the wells one last boost for the coming dry season. 

Update November 29, 2019 05:30   


U.S. Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center 
(not subject to copyright)

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center now projects Typhoon Kammuri to obtain maximum sustained wind speeds of 90 knots (category 2) as it passes north of Metro Manila on 03/18Z (2 A.M. December 4).

This could be a major historic storm. Pray for Kammuri's dissipation.

*******************

Kammuri: Corona Borealis; The Northern Crown; The Crown of Ariadne; The bane of H.P. Lovecraft's Hypnos.

I have been watching Typhoon Kammuri for a few days. Until this morning the forecast had it meandering to the west of Guam and petering out while still more than a thousand miles east of the Philippines' coast.

This latest map shows Kammuri taking a hard left turn and heading directly west taking it right across central Philippines. 

The last forecast point shows Kammuri about 600 miles east of the coast on December 2, 10 A.M. local time. Sustained winds of 125 knots will place it squarely within category 4 territory and I expect it to strengthen yet more and possibly to category five as the forecast develops.



It seems late in the season to be talking about strong typhoons hitting the Philippines, but if you look at the historical record you will find that it is not uncommon at all.

Super Typhoon Haiyan November 8, 2013


Strong typhoons are not particularly rare even this late in the season. Haiyan was a November typhoon, striking Eastern Samar on November 8, 2013 at 4:40 A.M. with winds pegged as high as 235 MPH.

TYPHOON HAIYAN STORM PATH
Haiyan Storm Track November 2013
The graphic above shows that Haiyan struck the Philippines approximately 200 miles south of where Kammuri could make landfall if it continues on its projected path.

Typhoon Durian November 30, 2006


TYPHOON DURIAN STORM PATH
Durian Storm Track November 2006

Having weakened from category four status, Typhoon Durian struck Legaspi Philippines on November 30, 2006 as a category three typhoon with maximum sustained winds of 190 KPH. The eye of the storm made an almost direct strike over Mt. Mayon that had erupted only months before triggering catastrophic mud flows in the area.

Super Typhoon Bopha December 3, 2012


TYPHOON BOPHA STORM PATH
Super Typhoon Bopha Storm Track December 2012

Super Typhoon Bopha struck Southern Mindanao as a category five super typhoon on December 3, 2012 causing widespread and incredible damage. The storm weakened and became a tropical storm as it crossed over Palawan. On December 7 Bopha underwent an incredible transformation into a category four typhoon and threatened to strike the northernmost extremities of Luzon as it curved back toward the northeast. Fortunately, Bopha was ripped apart by wind shear over the South China Sea before it could do any more damage.

Don't Let Your Guard Down In November And December 


Late season storms are not only NOT rare, but they are in fact among the most powerful, most deadly and most costly storms of all. Of the top ten deadliest typhoons to ever strike the Philippines five of them hit in November or December:
 
Rank
Storm
Season
Fatalities
Month
1
"Haiphong"
1881
20,000
September
2
Haiyan
2013
6,300
November
3
Thelma
1991
5,101–8,000
November
4
Bopha
2012
1,901
Nov/Dec
5
"Angela"
1867
1,800
?
6
Winnie
2004
1,593
November
7
October 1897
1897
1,500
October
8
Ike
1984
1,363
Aug/Sep
9
Washi
2011
1,268
December
10
Trix
1952
995
October

Haiyan and Bopha are also ranked as the #1 and #2 costliest storms to ever strike the Philippines tallying $2.2 billion and $1.06 billion respectively.

11.21.2019

I Don't Like Spam!

I Don't Like Spam!



I get a lot of really nice and complimentary comments. 

Most of them are spam.

Here are just a few that I have collected:


That first one is really convincing if not for the fact that a) there are no images on that post and b) if you Google that comment you find that the exact same comment has been posted verbatim thousands of times.

I do not post spam comments, but I will make a post about spam comments just to raise awareness.

I suspect that some of this might be individuals testing to see if comments are moderated. If they were to find that comments are not moderated, then I suspect that they would flood me with phony comments to create backlinks.


Micro-Suction Ear Cleaning In The Philippines

Micro-Suction Ear Cleaning In The Philippines

 

take care of your ears


I recently had the pleasure of undergoing the micro-suction procedure for a clogged ear. I applied ear drops to the ear for a few days prior to the the procedure to soften the cerumen and the doctor applied some bubbly peroxide stuff again for 30 minutes before the procedure. 

I had been reading horror stories on the Internet regarding bad experiences with micro-suction, so I was a little apprehensive. My apprehension peaked when I saw the metal suction tube and the metallic cone (called a speculum) that is placed in the ear to focus the suction of the tool.

speculum used is micro suction of the ear
ear speculum
There was some discomfort and it was loud and there was some pain. There was, in all honestly, a lot of pain. However, the procedure was quickly over and the offending clump was extricated and I was endowed with mutant-like super hearing for a couple of days.

Every little sound seemed extremely loud for two or three days. Every creak and squeak of the door hinges was like an explosion in my ear. The waves gently lapping the beach a hundred yards from my window (which I had scarcely noticed before) now sounded like D-Day.

Another nice effect was the musical ear tinnitus that showed up the first night after the procedure making sleep all but impossible. The Internet tells various stories about the tinnitus related side effects that sometimes follow micro-suction ear wax removal. Some people say theirs lasted for months, years or forever. Other people say that it dies down within a few days to a couple of weeks. It has been several days now and my tinnitus does seem to be growing lower and lower and hopefully it will soon be gone. The super hearing is going away too.

And the cost of the procedure?

1400PHP...$28

11.13.2019

Christians And Muslims Do Not Worship The Same God

Christians And Muslims Do Not Worship The Same God


The name "Jesus" is mentioned twenty-nine times in the Koran and "Christ" is mentioned another eight (8) times without "Jesus" adjoined to it. Is it good simply because the Koran speaks so much about Jesus? Does that not depend upon what exactly it states about him?

What the Koran says about Jesus Christ:

SURA 4. Nisaa, or The Woman

157. That they said [in boast], "We killed Christ Jesus the son of Mary, the Messenger of Allah";- but they killed him not, nor crucified him, but so it was made to appear to them, and those who differ therein are full of doubts, with no [certain] knowledge, but only conjecture to follow, for of a surety they killed him not:-

171. O People of the Book! Commit no excesses in your religion: Nor say of Allah aught but the truth. Christ Jesus the son of Mary was [no more than] a messenger of Allah, and His Word, which He bestowed on Mary, and a spirit proceeding from Him: so believe in Allah and His messengers. Say not "Trinity" : desist: it will be better for you: for Allah is one Allah: Glory be to Him: [far exalted is He] above having a son. To Him belong all things in the heavens and on earth. And enough is Allah as a Disposer of affairs.

SURA 5. Maida, or the Table Spread
19. In blasphemy indeed are those that say that Allah is Christ the son of Mary. Say "Who then hath the least power against Allah, if His Will were to destroy Christ the son of Mary, his mother, and all--every one that is on the earth? For to Allah belongeth the dominion of the heavens and the earth, and all that is between. He createth what He pleaseth. For Allah hath power over all things."

75. They do blaspheme who say: "Allah is Christ the son of Mary." But said Christ: "O Children of Israel! Worship Allah, my Lord and your Lord" Whoever joins other gods with Allah, --Allah will forbid him the Garden, and the Fire will be his abode. There will for the wrongdoers be no one to help.

76. They do blaspheme who say: Allah is one of three in a Trinity: For there is no god except One God. If they desist not from their word (of blasphemy), verily a grievous penalty will befall the blasphemers among them.

78. Christ the son of Mary was no more than an Apostle; many were the apostles that passed away before him. His mother was a woman of truth. They had both to eat their (daily) food. See how Allah doth make His Signs clear to them; yet see in what ways they are deluded away from the truth!

SURA 9. Tauba (Repentance) or Baraat (Immunity)
30. The Jews call 'Uzair a son of Allah, and the Christians call Christ the son of Allah. That is a saying from their mouth; [in this] they but imitate what the unbelievers of old used to say. Allah's curse be on them: how they are deluded away from the Truth!

Summary of what the Koran says about Jesus Christ:

  • Jesus only appeared to die, but did not actually die on the cross
  • There is no God the Father, God the Son and God the Holy Spirit
  • It is blasphemy to claim Allah is a triune God
  • It is blasphemy to say that Jesus Christ is Allah
  • Christ was only an Apostle
  • Allah's curse is upon those who say that Christ is the son of Allah

What does the Bible say about Jesus' death:

Luke 23:46 And when Jesus had cried with a loud voice, he said, Father, into thy hands I commend my spirit: and having said thus, he gave up the ghost.

What does the Bible say about the Trinity:

Matthew 28:19 Go ye therefore, and teach all nations, baptizing them in the name of the Father, and of the Son, and of the Holy Ghost
1 John 5:7 For there are three that bear record in heaven, the Father, the Word, and the Holy Ghost: and these three are one.

What does the Bible say about Jesus being God:

Matthew 1:23 Behold, a virgin shall be with child, and shall bring forth a son, and they shall call his name Emmanuel, which being interpreted is, God with us.
John 1:1 In the beginning was the Word, and the Word was with God, and the Word was God.
John 10:30 I and my Father are one.
Colossians 2:9 For in him dwelleth all the fulness of the Godhead bodily.
1 John 5:20 And we know that the Son of God is come, and hath given us an understanding, that we may know him that is true, and we are in him that is true, even in his Son Jesus Christ. This is the true God, and eternal life.

Christ was much more than an Apostle. He is the Creator:

John 1:1 In the beginning was the Word, and the Word was with God, and the Word was God. 2 The same was in the beginning with God. 3 All things were made by him; and without him was not any thing made that was made.

What response does the Bible have to the assertion that Allah's curse is upon those who say that Jesus is the son of Allah?


Nothing, actually. Jesus is not the son of Allah and I dare say that anyone who says that he is might well be cursed. This is because by now it should be clear that the Jesus of the Koran and the Jesus of the Bible are clearly not the same person nor is Allah the same person as the God of the Bible. 

According to the Bible one is cursed if one cannot see that Jesus is the Son of God because the only way to get to God the Father is through the Son.
Matthew 11:27 All things are delivered unto me of my Father: and no man knoweth the Son, but the Father; neither knoweth any man the Father, save the Son, and he to whomsoever the Son will reveal him.

John 14:6  Jesus saith unto him, I am the way, the truth, and the life: no man cometh unto the Father, but by me.
Since the days of my youth I have heard it often repeated that Christians, Muslims and Jews worship the same Abrahamic God. But this is simply not true, as the verses above clearly demonstrate the distance between Islam and Christianity.

But it is also false to state that Christians and Jews worship the same God.  

John 5:23 That all men should honour the Son, even as they honour the Father. He that honoureth not the Son honoureth not the Father which hath sent him.
John 14:6  Jesus saith unto him, I am the way, the truth, and the life: no man cometh unto the Father, but by me. 7 If ye had known me, ye should have known my Father also: and from henceforth ye know him, and have seen him.

John 8:19 Then said they unto him, Where is thy Father? Jesus answered, Ye neither know me, nor my Father: if ye had known me, ye should have known my Father also.
In John 8:19 above, Jesus was speaking to Pharisees. These were Jews and as Pharisees they believed in the Old Testament prophecies of the coming Messiah, yet they could not recognize him as being the man who was speaking to them. They most certainly did not worship the Father either. Neither do modern Jews, as they too reject Jesus Christ. Whatever god they do worship is not God the Father who is one with Jesus Christ his Son.

If Muslims and Jews worshiped the same God as Christians there would be no need to evangelize them. They would already be saved. But Scripture states that no man comes to the Father but through the Son and this is what both Islam and modern Judaism reject.